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Italy Power SWOT
SWOT Analysis Strengths | - Vast and increasingly liberalised power market, with several players competing in the generation sector.
- Italy's natural characteristics give the country significant potential for solar, wind and geothermal power generation.
- Italy has very high levels of energy efficiency in its buildings, industry and transportation sector.
- EU energy and climate targets provide investors with some long-term visibility on decarbonisation, renewables and power trade.
- Italy has seen a large deployment of smart meters, and establishing a smart grid will facilitate the integration of renewables into the electricity mix.
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Weaknesses | - Local governments have the authority to veto power and infrastructure projects, a potential cause of implementation delays.
- The absence of nuclear and high non-hydro renewables penetration make Italian retail electricity prices among the highest in Europe.
- Structural issues will result in slow growth in economic activity over the coming decade, which will weigh on power demand.
- Growth in new power generation plants will be limited to the renewables sector, and potentially the development of some natural gas-fired capacity.
- Relatively high levels of corruption and cronyism in certain areas of the economy have led to inefficiency and insufficient allocation of resources.
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Opportunities | - Smart meters, batteries, energy efficiency and distributed energy solutions to gain greater importance in the market in line with focus on cost-cutting and green energy goals.
- EU power grid goals and Italy's higher prices compared to its neighbours create opportunities in power trade and building new interconnections.
- The government has introduced a new auction and incentive scheme for solar renewable projects.
- The planned introduction of a capacity market, also included in the government's 2030 energy strategy, should support gas-fired thermal power generation.
- Overwhelming parliamentary support for new government formed under Prime Minister Mario Draghi will boost policymaking.
- Following the Russian invasion of Ukraine, a drive across the EU to reduce the need for Russian gas imports will pose direct upsides for renewable capacity growth.
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Threats | - Overlapping authorities between regional and central governments over energy issues can complicate the operational environment.
- Increasing energy efficiency will result in weak growth in power consumption over the coming decade.
- Although the phase-out of coal power by 2025 is included in Italy's energy strategy to 2030, its implementation faces risks.
- A strong anti-establishment movement is gathering pace in Italian society across the ideological spectrum and particularly among younger portions of the electorate, leading to a progressive empowerment of populist apolitical figures.
- An overreliance on imported gas will pose deep downside risks to the gas fired power sector, particularly as Russia is a large supplier.
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