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Canacol Energy Ltd. Achieves 169% 2P Reserve Replacement Ratio Increasing 2P Reserves to 652 Bcfe with a Before Tax Value of US$1.9 Billion |
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March 21, 2023 - GlobeNewswire
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CALGARY, Alberta, March 21, 2023 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Canacol Energy Ltd. (“Canacol” or the “Corporation”) (TSX:CNE; OTCQX:CNNEF; BVC:CNEC) is pleased to report its conventional natural gas and light/medium crude oil reserves for the fiscal year end December 31, 2022. The Corporation’s conventional natural gas reserves are located in the Lower Magdalena Valley basin, Colombia. Newly discovered light/medium crude oil reserves are located in the Middle Magdalena Valley basin, Colombia. Canacol Energy Ltd Gross Conventional Natural Gas and Light/Medium Crude Oil Reserves Summary(1)(5) | | | | | | | | Proved Developed Producing | Total Proved | Total Proved + Probable | Total Proved + Probable + Possible | Product Type | | ("PDP") | ("1P") | ("2P") | ("3P") | Conventional natural gas and light/medium crude oil(4) | Bcfe(2) | 161.6 | 339.2 | 652.5 | 1088.2 | Total oil equivalent | MMBOE(2) | 28.4 | 59.5 | 114.5 | 190.9 | Before tax NPV-10(3) | MM US$ | $479.1 | $993.4 | $1,937.3 | $3,142.3 | After tax NPV-10(3) | MM US$ | $466.1 | $775.6 | $1,318.7 | $2,010.7 | (1) | All reserves are represented at Canacol’s working interest share before royalties. | (2) | The term “BOE” means a barrel of oil equivalent and the term “cfe” means cubic feet equivalent of natural gas on the basis of 5.7 thousand standard cubic feet (“Mcf”) of natural gas to 1 barrel of oil (“bbl”) as per Colombian regulatory practice. | (3) | Net Present Value (NPV) is stated in millions of USD and is discounted at 10 percent. | (4) | Conventional natural gas represents 100% of PDP, 98.3% of 1P, 95.0% of 2P, and 92.9% of 3P volumes with conventional light/medium oil being the remainder. | (5) | The numbers in this table may not add due to rounding. | | | Highlights Conventional Natural Gas and Light/Medium Crude Oil Proved + Probable Reserves (“2P”): - Increased by 7.5% since December 31, 2021, totaling 652 billion standard cubic feet equivalent (“Bcfe”) at December 31, 2022, with a before tax value discounted at 10% of US$1.9 billion, representing both CAD$76.67 per share of reserve value, and CAD$53.79 per share of 2P net asset value (net of US$578.2 million of net debt)
- Reserve replacement of 169% based on calendar 2022 conventional natural gas and light/medium crude oil reserve additions of 79.5 Bcf and 5.7 MMBbls, respectively, totaling 112 Bcfe
- 2P Finding and Development Cost (“F&D”) of US$1.87 / Mcfe for the three-year period ending December 31, 2022
- Recycle ratio of 1.7x for the year ended December 31, 2022 (calculated based on the natural gas netback of US$3.68 / Mcf for the year ended December 31, 2022)
- Recycle ratio of 1.9x for the three-year period ending December 31, 2022 (calculated based on the weighted average natural gas netback of US$3.55 / Mcf for the years ended December 31, 2022, 2021 and 2020)
- Reserves life index (“RLI”) of 10.0 years based on annualized fourth quarter 2022 conventional natural gas production of 177,985 thousand standard cubic feet per day (“Mscfpd”) or 31,225 barrels of oil equivalent per day (“BOEPD”)
- RLI of 8.7 years based on conventional natural gas production guidance of 206,000 Mcfpd for calendar 2023 (high end 2023 production guidance as announced December 20, 2022)
Conventional Natural Gas and Light/Medium Crude Oil Total Proved Reserves (“1P”): - Decreased by 7.9% since December 31, 2021, totaling 339 Bcfe at December 31, 2022, with a before tax value discounted at 10% of US$1.0 billion, representing both CAD$39.32 per share of reserve value, and CAD$16.43 per share of 1P net asset value (net of US$578.2 million of net debt)
- Reserve replacement of 56% based on calendar 2022 conventional natural gas and light/medium crude oil reserve additions of 31.5 Bcf and 1.0 MMBbls, respectively, totaling 37 Bcfe
- Concurrent drilling operations through to year end resulted in discoveries at Chimela on the VMM45 block, Saxofon on the VIM5 block, and Dividivi on the VIM33 block. However, by the December 31, 2022 effective date of the report, limited production testing could occur impacting 1P reserve bookings.
- 1P F&D of US$2.60 / Mcfe for the three-year period ending December 31, 2022
- RLI of 5.2 years based on annualized fourth quarter 2022 conventional natural gas production of 177,985 Mcfpd or 31,225 BOEPD
- RLI of 4.5 years based on conventional natural gas production guidance of 206,000 Mcfpd for calendar 2023 (high end 2023 production guidance as announced December 20, 2022)
Conventional Natural Gas and Light/Medium Crude Oil Total Proved + Probable + Possible Reserves (“3P”): - Increased by 14.3% since December 31, 2021, totaling 1,088 Bcfe at December 31, 2022, with a before tax value discounted at 10% of US$3.1 billion, representing both CAD$124.36 per share of reserve value, and CAD$101.48 per share of 3P net asset value (net of US$578.2 million of net debt)
- Reserve replacement of 304% based on calendar 2022 conventional natural gas and light/medium crude oil reserve additions of 124.8 Bcf and 13.6 MMBbls, respectively, totaling 202 Bcfe.
- 3P F&D of US$1.05 / Mcf for the three-year period ending December 31, 2022
- RLI of 16.8 years based on annualized fourth quarter 2022 conventional natural gas production of 177,985 Mcfpd or 31,225 BOEPD
- RLI of 14.5 years based on conventional natural gas production guidance of 206,000 Mcfpd for calendar 2023 (high end 2023 production guidance as announced December 20, 2022)
Ravi Sharma, COO said “We are pleased to report our 2022 year-end reserves. We achieved a 2P Reserve Replacement Ratio of 169%, demonstrating organic growth in both our traditional core area in the Lower Magdalena Valley Basin and a new area of focus in the Middle Magdalena Valley Basin. Over the past decade, we have added more than 880 BCF of 2P conventional natural gas reserves from success in 35 out of 41 drilled exploration wells resulting in a 22% Compound Annual Growth Rate (“CAGR”) in 2P conventional natural gas reserves. With our exploration focused drilling campaign in 2023 and a portfolio of 178 identified prospects and leads containing mean unrisked prospective conventional natural gas resources of 20.5 trillion cubic feet, according to our 2021 third party resource report, we anticipate many more years of successful exploration drilling. Our 2023 work program will also test, appraise and tie in recent discoveries, and bring multiple currently non-producing wells back into production.” Discussion of Year Ended December 31, 2022 Reserves Report During the year ended December 31, 2022, the Corporation recorded increases in certain reserve categories due to discoveries at Alboka, Claxon, Saxofon, and Manchego on the VIM5 block, Canaflecha-2 on the Esperanza block, Carambolo and Cornamusa on the VIM21 block, Chimela (oil) on the VMM45 block, Dividivi on the VIM33 block, and Chinu on the SSJN7 block. All aforementioned additions are in the Lower Magdalena Valley basin except Chimela, which is in the Middle Magdalena Valley basin. Positive technical revisions were associated primarily with Clarinete, Pandereta, and Siku on the VIM5 block, San Marcos on the Esperanza block, and Aguas Vivas on the VIM21 block. Negative technical revisions were associated primarily with Chirimia on the VIM5 block and Toronja on the VIM21 block. The following tables summarize information from the independent reserves report prepared by Boury Global Energy Consultants Ltd. (“BGEC”) effective December 31, 2022 (the “BGEC 2022 report”). The BGEC 2022 report covers 100% of the Corporation’s conventional natural gas and light/medium oil reserves. The BGEC 2022 report was prepared in accordance with definitions, standards and procedures contained in the Canadian Oil and Gas Evaluation Handbook (“COGE Handbook”) and National Instrument NI 51-101, Standards of Disclosure for Oil and Gas Activities (“NI 51-101”). Additional reserve information as required under NI 51-101 is included in the Corporation’s Annual Information Form, which will be filed on SEDAR by March 31, 2023. Canacol Gross Natural Gas and Light/Medium Crude Oil Reserves for the Year Ended December 31, 2022(1) Reserve Category(2) | 31-Dec-21 | 31-Dec-22 | Difference | | (MMcfe) | (MMcfe) | (%) | Proved Developed Producing (PDP) | 236,023 | 161,633 | -31.5 | % | Total Proved (1P) | 368,366 | 339,243 | -7.9 | % | Total Proved + Probable (2P) | 606,855 | 652,466 | 7.5 | % | Total Proved + Probable + Possible (3P) | 952,292 | 1,088,172 | 14.3 | % | (1) | The numbers in this table may not add due to rounding. | (2) | All reserves are Canacol working interest before royalties. | | | 5-Year Gas and Oil Price Forecasts – BGEC Report December 31, 2022(1) | | Reserve | | | | | | | | Report Date | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | Volume weighted Total Proved + Probable (2P) average gas price(2) | US$/Mcf | 31-Dec-22 | 5.00 | 5.27 | 5.40 | 5.72 | 5.90 | Realized Oil Price- net of quality offset and transportation(3) | US$/bbl | 31-Dec-22 | 71.00 | 68.80 | 66.50 | 68.00 | 70.20 | (1) | The numbers in this table may not add due to rounding. | (2) | The gas price forecast is based on existing long term contracts net of transportation (if applicable) and adjusted for inflation, along with interruptible gas sales pricing based on forecasts from La Unidad de Planeación Minero Energética (“UPME”), a special administrative unit of the Colombian Ministry of Mines and Energy. | (3) | The oil price forecast is based on BGEC’s Brent forecast less US$14.00/bbl for quality offset and transportation costs. | | | Conventional Natural Gas and Light/Medium Crude Oil Reserves Net Present Value Before & After Tax Summary(1) | Before tax | | After tax | | | | | Net Asset | | | | | | Net Asset | | | | | | Value | | | | | | Value | | Reserve Category | 31-Dec-22 | | | 31-Dec-22 | | | 31-Dec-22 | | | 31-Dec-22 | | | (M US$)(2) | | | (C$/share)(3) | | | (M US$)(2) | | | (C$/share)(3) | | Proved Developed Producing (PDP) | $ | 479,092 | | $ | (3.92 | ) | | $ | 466,091 | | $ | (4.44 | ) | Total Proved (1P) | $ | 993,416 | | $ | 16.43 | | | $ | 775,629 | | $ | 7.82 | | Total Proved + Probable (2P) | $ | 1,937,282 | | $ | 53.79 | | | $ | 1,318,678 | | $ | 29.31 | | Total Proved + Probable + Possible (3P) | $ | 3,142,319 | | $ | 101.48 | | | $ | 2,010,743 | | $ | 56.70 | | (1) | The numbers in this table may not add due to rounding. | (2) | Net present value is stated in thousands of USD and is discounted at 10 percent. The forecast prices used in the calculation of the present value of future net revenue are based on the price deck described above. The BGEC forecast for conventional natural gas and light/medium crude oil prices at December 31, 2022 are included in the Corporation’s Annual Information Form. | (3) | Net asset value ("NAV") is calculated as at December 31, 2022 NPV10 less estimated net debt of US$578.2 million (being US$550.8 million of total debt plus working capital deficit of US$27.4 million) divided by 34.1 million basic shares outstanding as at December 31, 2022. NAV calculations are converted to $CAD at December 31, 2022 effective rate of USD:CAD =1.35. | | | Reserve Life Index (“RLI”)(1)(2) Reserve Category | 31-Dec-21 | 31-Dec-22 | | (yrs)(3) | (yrs)(4) | Proved Developed Producing (PDP) | 3.5 | 2.5 | Total Proved (1P) | 5.4 | 5.2 | Total Proved + Probable (2P) | 8.9 | 10.0 | Total Proved + Probable + Possible (3P) | 14.0 | 16.8 | (1) | The numbers in this table may not add due to rounding. | (2) | “RLI” Reserve Life Index is calculated by dividing the applicable reserves category by the annualized fourth quarter production. | (3) | Calculated using average 3 month ending December 31, 2021 natural gas production of 186,145 Mcfpd or 32,657 BOEpd annualized. | (4) | Calculated using average 3 month ending December 31, 2022 natural gas production of 177,985 Mcfpd or 31,225 BOEpd annualized. | | | Year Ended December 31, 2022 Canacol Gross Reserves Reconciliation (1) | Total Oil | Light/Med Crude Oil | Heavy Crude Oil | Conventional Natural Gas | NGL | TOTAL | PROVED DEVELOPED PRODUCING | (MBBL) | (MBBL) | (MBBL) | (MMCF) | (MBBL) | MBOE | Opening Balance (December 31, 2021) | - | - | - | 236,023 | - | 41,408 | Extensions | - | - | - | - | - | - | Improved Recovery | - | - | - | - | - | - | Technical Revisions(2) | - | - | - | (12,705) | - | (2,229) | Discoveries(4) | - | - | - | 4,797 | - | 842 | Acquisitions | - | - | - | - | - | - | Dispositions | - | - | - | - | - | - | Economic Factors | - | - | - | - | - | - | Production | - | - | - | (66,483) | - | (11,664) | Closing Balance (December 31, 2022) | - | - | - | 161,633 | - | 28,357 |
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